World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
9 則留言:
第三組 組長 張逸苓
World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
2008年世界經濟情況及前景
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據WESP 2008年中的調查全球經濟已呈現在經濟嚴重衰退的邊緣,使得2008一月為預警世界經濟慘狀方案所發表的修正案必須有所延期。由於主要經濟開發市場被房地產下跌,美元下跌,全球經濟不均衡,價錢暴漲的石油及非石油物品導致全球經濟整體成長有逐年下滑的趨勢。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
報導也發出預測，缺乏積極取進的精神及對等的擴張性策略會導致更悲慘的局面發生。這個局面將會引起全世界交易及金融財政的一場混亂且大規模的世界性動盪及極端牽連的局面。此外，物價急遽上漲及消費力復合的下跌風險，特別地透露糧食危機對社會及政府穩定性構成的威脅。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
這篇報導對供不應求的國家提出一個多面性協調建議。當國家現有的財政能力在國際金融的規章和管理結構，以及非常時期能滿足食物需求的範圍內，只要設定較長的期限策略就能減輕供應的限制和改善食物品質。
第一組 組長 李怡萱
World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
2008世界經濟展望會
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據『2008世界經濟展望會』更新的年中全球經濟情況指出，金融體系因處於嚴重的衰退邊緣而搖擺不定，導致要向下修正『2008世界經濟展望會』在一月所發布的全球經濟成長率的預測基線。在主要先進國家的金融市場中信用危機的惡化是源自於：房市買賣的持續低迷、美元對其他國家貨幣的貶值、全球金融持續的不平衡和以及石油和非石油生活用品價錢的高漲，導致全球經濟的走緩。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
同時這份報告也指出了，在缺乏積極態度、對等的擴張性策略，將對世界貿易及金融市場帶來巨大的衝擊、破壞平衡而導致悲劇發生，除此之外，加上糧食及能源日漸不足，且有急速走下坡的趨勢，其所引發的危機也不容小覷，特別是糧荒問題，將會對社會及政治的穩定性造成嚴重威脅。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
此報告對現有財政能力且需要擴大貿易順差的國家提出一個多邊性協調刺激機制，此機制徹底改革國際金融結構的管理條例，並正視緊急糧食需求，制訂減緩供給限制計畫且確保無斷糧之虞。
第四組
組長 E4B 陳泰宇 0911676758
組員
F4A 劉妤恩
G4B 盧怡君
J4B 蔡姿靜
J4B 劉姵廷
E4D 康為鈞
World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
「二零零八年世界經濟情勢與展望」報告
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據「二零零八年世界經濟情勢與展望」的年中修正報告指出，在急劇下滑的帶領之下，全球經濟正處在嚴重衰退的邊緣，因此聯合國經濟與社會部門下修了一月份發表的世界經濟成長預估；受到次級房貸影響，主要已開發市場經濟的信用危機加深、相較於其他強勢貨幣，美元的持續貶值、全球的經濟持續不平衡、飛漲的石油價格及非石油產品的價格上升都減緩了世界經濟成長的速度。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
報告指出在消極又缺少聯合擴張性政策的情況下，情況會變的更糟，甚至有可能擴張全球性的經濟不平衡，並對全球貿易、國際金融都有劇烈影響；不僅如此，急劇上漲的糧食價格以及能源花費將加重國際金融的下挫風險，尤其是對社會及政治穩定度構成威脅的糧食危機。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
報告建議有財政能力的貿易順差國家實施多方面聯合刺激性政策以擴大國貨需求，徹徹底底的對國際金融條例及控管的架構進行改革，並對糧食短缺設置一個長期性的策略放寬供給限制，確保糧食有充足的供應。
第二組
組長:蔡侑儒 Enora
組員
陳儀Jenny
沈奕君Joe
陳乃偵May
詹佩潔Tiffany
林宛蓁Jennifer
World Economic Situation And Prospects 2008
2008世界經濟展望
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據WESP2008年中最新資料顯示，世界經濟正處於一個衰退且動盪不安的狀態。世界經濟和WESP2008於一月修訂的經濟長底線一樣不樂觀。借貸危機在經濟市場下大幅增加，造成房地產不景氣、美元貶值，持續全球金融動盪，而且原油和非原油製品價格高漲，使世界經濟成長緩慢。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
這份報告指出，缺乏侵略性和擴張性的政策，將會釀成一個更不樂觀的情況，也可能引發一個巨大的金融風暴，甚至牽涉到全球貿易和經濟，除此之外，物價急遽上漲，能源殆盡和保率下滑的問題持續增加，特別是從日益嚴重的通貨膨脹看來，對社會和政治穩定將造成不小的威脅。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
這份報告也指出，呼籲其他沒有加入WESP的國家，共同位通貨膨脹進一份心力。為了舒緩供給壓迫並改善通貨膨脹，建議各國妥善管理財政、深入改革全球金融規則和指導計畫、參加WESP緊急會議並且在物品供給不足時，建立一個長遠的解決策略。
Group 7
G4A 王立婷(組長)
G4A 李麗音
G4A 姜宛伶
G4A 尤宣淳
G4A 陳瑩
S4B 王俐婷
World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
2008年世界經濟情勢與願景
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據2008年年中WESP最新消息，全球經濟已經站在嚴重經濟衰退的邊緣搖搖欲墜。2008年1月WESP公佈，悲觀的立場看來，這預告了世界經濟成長底線的修訂將下降。在主要開發國家市場裡信用危機惡化，是因為連續的房市暴跌，美元對於其他主要貨幣的貶值，全球持續在不平衡的狀態中，以及價格高漲的石油和非石油類用品導致全球經濟趨緩。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
報告也指出了，在缺乏侵略和同等的擴張性策略下，將會引起更不樂觀的情況發生，也將會對全球貿易以及國際金融帶來巨大的風暴及不平衡，除此之外，飛漲的食物和能源價格惡化了下降趨勢的風險，特別是有鑑於食物危機的顯露，這造成了社會和政治上的威脅。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
這篇報告也為現在有財政能力的國家提供一個多樣性的建議，為因應國內的要求提供一個協調刺激膨脹的機制，在國際金融管理和監督上有更深層改革的機制，及滿足緊急糧食需求，同時制定長遠的策略，以減輕供應限制和改善糧食安全。
Group Exercise 3 - Economic document translation
Group6
S4A
仉政仁/Mary(group leader)
楊子萱/Carol
楊怡雯/Michelle
黃鈺涵/Betty
World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
2008年世界經濟現況及展望
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據2008年中旬WESP最新報導，全球經濟正在嚴重下滑的邊緣擺盪，因此導致WESP必需修正其在同年1月所出版對世界經濟成長預測悲觀前景的下滑底線。長年房價下跌，觸發大部分已開發市場經濟嚴重的信貸危機，相較於其他主要貨幣的美元貶值，使全球經濟長期處於不平衡的狀態，而油價飆漲及非石油的物價高漲皆減緩了世界經濟的成長。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
這份報導也預警消極的心態及對等的擴張政策將會導致更悲慘的局面發生，而此局面將可能引起大規模全球不平衡的混亂展開並對世界貿易和金融有強烈的牽連。另外，食物及能源價格的急劇上漲加重了下跌的風險，尤其顯示出糧食危機對社會及政府的穩定性造成了威脅。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of interonational financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
這篇報導建議一套在國家現有的財政能力範圍內，多方面調和刺激國內需求過剩的國家膨脹中心，深入改革及監管國際金融規章的結構和滿足在非常時期的食物需求，且設定較長遠的期限策略就能減緩供應的限制及改善食物品質。
World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008
『全球經濟情勢及展望』
According to WESP 2008 midyear update the global economy is teetering on the brink of a severe economic downturn leading to a downward revision in the baseline forecast for world economic growth in line with the pessimistic scenario of the World Economic Situation and Prospects 2008 published in January. The deepening credit crisis in major developed market economies, as triggered by the continuing housing slump, the declining value of the United States dollar vis-a-vis other major currencies, persisting global imbalances, and the soaring oil and non-oil commodity prices are slowing growth of the global economy.
根據WESP2008年中所更新的資料顯示，全球經濟正處於搖搖欲墜並幾近崩盤的邊緣，並使得全球經濟成長底限的預測值必須進行下修才能與2008年1月所發表的『全球經濟情勢及展望』一致。經濟市場中的借貸風暴隨著房地產業的不景氣、美元的貶值、全球持續性的金融風暴而觸發，全球經濟成長值更因原油及非原油製品價格的飆升而逐漸下降。
The report also warns that in the absence of aggressive and coordinated expansionary policies a more pessimistic scenario will occur, which could trigger a disorderly unwinding of the massive global imbalances and have drastic implications for global trade and finance. In addition, the steep rise in food and energy costs is compounding the downside risks, particularly in view of the unfolding food crisis, which poses a threat to social and political stability.
這份報導也警告說，在缺乏侵略及協調擴張性的政策下，將會引發更糟的局面，這可能會造成全球的嚴重騷動及不安定，甚至會嚴重牽連全球的經濟及貿易。此外，糧食與能源的價格急遽上升又附帶著下滑的風險，而鑑於糧食危機的展開，這更對社會和政治安定造成威脅。
The report recommends a multilaterally coordinated stimulus package centered on the expansion of domestic demand in surplus countries, while staying within existing fiscal capacity; deep reforms in mechanisms of international financial regulation and supervision; and meeting emergency food needs, while setting longer term strategies for alleviating supply constraints and improving food security.
此報告更是建議，那些有財政能力的貿易順差國家應實施多方面的聯合政策以擴大國內貨物需求，徹底改善國際之間的金融條例及控管。而在正視糧食短缺這方面，為了緩和糧食供應的限制以及提高其產量，則可立定一個長期改善的措施。
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